NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll: The Overturning of Roe v. Wade, June 2022

Majority Opposes Overturning Roe v. Wade… More than Six in Ten Say Decision Will Push Them to the Polls in November

 

In a majority decision, the United States Supreme Court on Friday overturned Roe v. Wade which, for nearly fifty years, guaranteed access to abortion in the United States. However, majorities of Americans oppose the Court’s ruling and have concerns that the decision will have broader constitutional implications. Following the decision, President Joe Biden asserted that Roe will be on the ballot in November. 61% of Americans agree, saying the Court’s decision will make them more likely to vote in this year’s midterm elections, and, by a double-digit margin (15 points), they think the decision will motivate them to vote for a congressional candidate who will support federal legislation that will restore the protections of Roe v. Wade.

 

Overturning of Roe v. Wade
The U.S. Supreme Court has overturned the 1973 decision in Roe versus Wade which guaranteed the right to abortion. Do you support or oppose the Supreme Court´s decision to overturn Roe versus Wade?
 
roe vs wade
Source: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll National Adults. Interviews conducted June 24th through June 25th, 2022, n=941 MOE +/- 4.9 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
  • With 55% of Americans saying they mostly support abortion rights, 56% of Americans oppose the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. This includes 45% who say they strongly oppose the decision. Democrats (88%) are more than four times as likely as Republicans (20%) to oppose the decision. 53% of independents agree.

  • 56% of Americans are concerned that the Supreme Court’s decision could also jeopardize the rights to contraception, same-sex marriage, or same-sex relationships. This includes a plurality of Americans (42%) who report they are very concerned that the Court will use the decision to reconsider other previous rulings. 89% of Democrats and 55% of independents are either concerned or very concerned about the impact of the decision. A notable 18% of Republicans agree. Women (63%) are more likely than men (49%) to worry about the ripple effects of overturning Roe v. Wade.

  • A majority of Americans (57%) think the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade was politically motivated and not motivated by the law of the land (36%). The debate over abortion rights will most likely play out on the campaign trail. 62% of registered voters say the Supreme Court’s decision will make them more likely to vote in this year’s midterm elections. Democrats (78%) are more motivated by the decision than Republicans (54%) and independents (53%).

  • 51% of voters nationally say the Supreme Court’s decision will make them more likely to vote for a congressional candidate who would back a law that would restore the protections of Roe. 36% would definitely vote against a candidate with that intent, and 13% are unsure. Among independents, a plurality (47%) would vote for a candidate who would restore the protections of Roe. 38% of independents think they will definitely vote against such a candidate.

  • Democrats (48%) currently have the advantage over the Republicans (41%) among registered voters in the congressional generic ballot question. Their advantage has slightly widened from five points (47% for the Democratic candidate and 42% for the Republican candidate) in May after the leaked draft of the Roe v. Wade decision.

 
“With the midterm elections less than five months away, the decision by SCOTUS has sent shockwaves through the electorate,” says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “Men are +12 points and women are +18 points more likely to support congressional candidates who pledge to codify the protections of Roe v. Wade. Digging deeper, 63% of women, including 74% of suburban women, are also concerned that the Court’s decision is a harbinger of things to come.”

Americans’ Express Low Confidence in Supreme Court

The image of the Supreme Court has further diminished. 39% of Americans say they have either a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in the Supreme Court, comparable to an already dismal 40% in May. Americans’ perceptions of the Supreme Court have plummeted since 2019 when 60% of Americans had confidence in SCOTUS.

Should the U.S. Supreme Court Be Expanded?

Despite the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, a majority of Americans (54%) do not want the Court expanded to include more justices.

President Joe Biden’s Job Approval Rating

President Joe Biden’s job approval rating is 40%, inched up slightly from 38% earlier this month. By more than three to one, Americans are more likely to strongly disapprove (41%) of the job Biden is doing in office than to strongly approve (13%) of his job performance.

Abortion in the United States

About two in three Americans (66%) — including 70% of Democrats, 55% of Republicans, and 74% of independents — say they have a personal connection to someone who has had an abortion. 33% say they do not.

7 thoughts on “NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll: The Overturning of Roe v. Wade, June 2022

  1. Scottie, people need to vote. There is a canary in the coal mine that is saying more voters are switching to the GOP (I read 1+ million), including the suburban educated women voters. To me, this tells me that people are listening to messaging coming out of more conservative channels that rakes Dems over the coals. I am not saying that messaging is correct, but people are listening to it. Dems better crystalize key talking points that will appeal to all Americans and hammer them home. Keith

    Liked by 1 person

    1. IMO, the most dangerous thing about those “messages” is the repeated attacks against NOT the actions or decisions of the Democratic party, but the people themselves that claim the title of Democrat. This is what feeds actions like January 6th. And what could, in a very real way, trigger a physical uprising within this country.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Hello Nan. Great points. The right is demonizing the majority to drive the minority that is their supporters to take ever more violent actions against them. I just posted how the GOP in Arizona is telling their poll watcher in train that the Democrats stole the election and that the illegal actions took place. Preping the right wing poll watchers to cause problem at the polls. Hugs

        Like

    2. Hello Keith. I agree that the Democrats stink at messaging. Especially now that our top two leaders in Congress can hardly get two sentences out coherently. I am so tired of the Democratic party leaders focus on fundraising and big money donors as the measure of success. When Pelosi was asked why she should be Speaker of the House she looked at the interviewer and said, “I raise the most money”! Chuck Schumer puts an insomniacs asleep when he talks. Yes, the right wing generates outrage and hammers the same messages over and over and they Democrats only fundraise on “look at them, we are not them”. Hugs

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  2. OT — Just read that SC sided with high school football player for praying at end of game. I posted the following on Facebook …

    “A WHITE man gets the OK from the SC to pray after a high school football game, but a BLACK man is castigated for “taking a knee” during a Super Bowl football game. Prejudice anyone?”

    Since I don’t post very often on FB, only a few will see this … but I felt it needed to be said!

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Hello Nan. Yes and the 6 religious Justices claimed he was doing a private prayer and such things had to be allowed. But one of the dissenters Justice Sotomayor not only corrected that but included a series of pictures showing him on the field surrounded by players and included family testimony that kids felt pressured to join in or they felt they wouldn’t be allowed to play. But that made no difference to the ones doing everything they can to push the Christian religion on the public. Think if this had been a Muslim coach or a Hindu? From what I have read the majority of the 6 religious pushing Christian justices are Opus Dei members. Remember Gorsuch said the worst form of discrimination was discrimination against religion. Not slavery or other discrimination that caused death. How the US democracy died! I just cannot find a way to get out of my depression right now. I keep asking is this really what the maga thugs wanted, a religious driven country where laws are based on the Christian bible as it is understood by the uneducated? Or is it just more that they think this will stab at the others they hate like the black or Muslims, the unwashed others?
      Well when Sunday blue laws come into effect again, and other mandatory church doctrines suddenly apply to their lives I wonder how they will feel then about making America great again. Hugs

      Liked by 1 person

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