Saturday’s Hopium

In It To Win It In North Carolina!!!!!

Excited to be in Raleigh – folks are fired up, working hard and doing everything they can to win here

SIMON ROSENBERG JUL 20, 2024

Happy Saturday all. Reporting in this morning from Raleigh, North Carolina, ground zero in the 2024 Presidential election. Last night I did an event with one of our Hopium heroes, North Carolina Democratic Party Chair Anderson Clayton. I got to meet some of members of our plucky community last night, including one of our earliest members, Bridget Johnson, also known as “B Johnson” in our paid subscriber chat. He we are together last night. B was so great to meet you!

After our wonderful event last night Anderson and I recorded a video for all of you. You can find it above. I am here in Raleigh representing all of you. By raising $325,000 for the North Carolina Democratic Party this cycle our community is the largest investor in North Carolina in the country. We went in early for I believed that we could win here this year, and I believed that Anderson has what it takes to be a great chair and leader here. I got to spend some time with Anderson yesterday getting her report on everything here and I am convinced we have made a wise investment, and that she is doing everything we all hoped for – building the statewide effort here from the ground up, precinct by precinct, fueled by the same passion and and commitment of the grassroots that drives all of you.

I also got to see an old college friend, Gerda Stein, a fellow Tufts Jumbo and sister of Josh Stein, who will be (with our help!) the next Governor of North Carolina. Great to see you Gerda! So proud of your brother, the Hopium community is excited to be on the Stein team!

While we may be in a bumpy patch right now, the work to win this election is going on all across the country. Here in North Carolina people are fired up, working hard, and fighting to win this thing. Many of you have put your head down and channeled your anxiety into good works, supporting candidates and state parties across the country. As I’ve been saying for weeks now we simply cannot let up. We cannot take our foot off the gas. Early voting in the Presidential election begins in three states on September 20th – 2 months from today! We need to keep working for working hard, outhustling them, is how we’ve been winning elections all across the country these last few years and and how we are going to win this November.

One bit of good news in polling today – Dems lead by 1 point in what’s called the Congressional Generic, or who will you be voting for in your Congressional races this fall. This is our largest lead since May 15th and one of our largest leads of the year.

If you want to do more and worry less this weekend here are some things you can do:

Here’s how you can do even more:

Finally help me spread Hopium and grow this remarkable community of proud patriots, info warriors and big citizens. Sign others up to be a Hopium subscriber at this link. Note that options for group and gift subscriptions are available to those who want to bring friends and colleagues into the Hopium community. Click on the group and gift tabs here to learn more. To update your payment information or check your renewal status follow these instructions from Substack. Let’s keep the Hopium flowing and our community growing!

I’ll send some more update for North Carolina tomorrow or Monday. Keep working hard all. Proud to be in this fight with all of you – Simon

6 responses to “Saturday’s Hopium”

  1. eurobrat Avatar

    That poll about Congress is really good news. Hopefully some of the MAGA antics and the info about Project 2025 will bring people out to vote for Democrats!

    Liked by 1 person

    1. ali register & vote! redford Avatar
      ali register & vote! redford

      I hope so, too. Thank you for reading! It’s nice to meet you, and I’ve followed your blog. I’ve been reading Xena for a couple of years, give or take.

      I’m noticing much better, fairer (not fair, just fairer) coverage on local news outlets, even in Wichita, KS. I see it online a lot; they show voters stating they want the naysaying to stop, and to get to work to elect our ticket. Those media show things like Minority Leader Jeffries stating that Pres. Biden is our nominee. It’s difficult; the Kool Kids all want to talk about whatever it is while they protect their money from fair taxation, but there are still more of us voters than there are of them. When it gets down to it, are those donors who want the president out actually going to vote for the Don for US president? They’re going to be among the first to be picked up under Project 2025, and all their money will be stolen from them, as opposed to them having to give up some fair taxes. I wish the Dem donors and the Kool Kids would finally change the subject!

      I’d also like each of them to show that the Don is any at all more able than Pres. Biden. From what we see, he’s far less able, but nobody’s calling him on it.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. eurobrat Avatar

        Well, it looks like Joe is out. I will admit that I’m relieved and happy about this–I did not think he was a strong candidate anymore, and I’m glad he listened. I sincerely hope we stick with Kamala as our nominee–she is underestimated, I firmly believe she will make a fantastic President, and I’m super excited to support her in the election!

        I do absolutely agree with you that through this entire mess, not enough attention has been paid to how terrible another four years of Trump would be. Really, Biden’s brain in a jar should be able to win against him–I don’t understand how anyone still supports the Donald. But sadly, that is not our reality.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. ali register & vote! redford Avatar
    ali register & vote! redford

    I must be rattled. I got the embed link for Gilda’s line I’ve adopted, but somehow, the link for something that is no longer in play got posted. I’ve tried to delete it, or edit it, or both, but finally had to close the page, get back on, and post a new comment. The one with Rep. Jeffries is not the pertinent comment, it’s just taking up space. Enjoy the Gilda one; short and sweet, and my sincerest feelings just now. 🙂

    Like

Leave a comment

What the Don, et al. are doing with the “Black Jobs”, from The Root magazine

Trump Always Had a Plan To Eliminate ‘Black Jobs’ and Here it Is…

While boasting about Black employment, Trump is targeting ‘good government jobs’ in doomsday plan.

By Joy Rice Published 17 hours ago

While Trump boasts about his administration’s success in creating “Black jobs,” he and his inner circle are actually fine-tuning plans to eliminate them as part of his desire to dismantle the federal government.

That means tens of thousands of so-called “good government jobs” with benefits would be shipped out of the Chocolate City or gone nationwide, with Republican appointees replacing Black civil servants. This is not only alarming, but also indicates Trump’s deep disregard for the very communities he claims to support.

At the recent presidential debate, Trump claimed that migrants were responsible for “taking Black jobs,” perpetuating xenophobic sentiments.

“They’re taking Black jobs now,” he said. “They’re taking Black jobs and they’re taking Hispanic jobs. And you haven’t seen it yet, but you’re going to see something that’s going to be the worst in our history.”

What’s worse? Trump didn’t say. He also didn’t explain what a “Black job” means to him.

Trump continues to assert that his policies led to record-low unemployment rates among Black workers. Black unemployment did drop to 5.3% in August 2019 during his presidency, but he always fails to mention that it fell to a record low of 4.8% in April 2023 under President Biden, according to a Federal Reserve Bank analysis of data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

But his campaign speeches and website reveal a starkly different agenda. And no matter how much he tries to deny it, they mirror the Project 2025 playbook written by members of his team and released by the Heritage Foundation. Trump’s plan is to drastically gut the government and federal workforce, a sector where Black Americans are significantly represented. This move threatens the stability and economic security of Black families who rely on these positions.

In addition to reclassifying 50,000 jobs, Trump says in a campaign video that “as many as 100,000 government positions could be moved out, and I mean immediately out of Washington, to places filled with patriots who love America.”

This contradictory approach not only undermines Trump’s previous claims, but also raises questions about his inconsistent attempts to galvanize the Black community, which often involves harmful rhetoric and superficial gestures.

Whether making baseless statements alleging immigrants are taking “Black jobs” or enlisting rappers and entertainment figures like Amber Rose to endorse his campaign, his approach to Black voters has been disingenuous and predicated on a narrow and stereotypical view of Black culture — not the real needs and contributions of the Black community.

Joy Rice is a junior in political science at Howard University.

https://www.theroot.com/trumps-real-plan-to-get-rid-of-black-jobs-1851600374

A Ten Bears reblog

because amongst all else to read, learn, and inwardly digest, ya gotta see the JD Vance vid there!

Today’s Hopium

Our today’s dose of inspiration to GOTV!

I’m In Raleigh, NC Today at 5pm ET, The Hopium Community Gathers Tuesday

Read on Substack

(OK, here’s a snippet. I’m trying out the embed link they provide.)

SIMON ROSENBERG

JUL 19, 2024

Happy Friday all. I’m writing to you today from Raleigh, North Carolina where I am excited to be spending the weekend campaigning with Anderson Clayton, Josh Stein, Governor Cooper and the good Democrats and Hopium community members who are busting their ass to turn this state blue this November.

The Republican Convention is over and last night Donald Trump gave the longest, most bizarre and worst speech at a party convention in American history. Friends of mine from across the country who are not that involved in politics reached out to me shocked at how bat shit crazy he sounded, how long he went on, how unfit and unwell he so clearly is. That he was oh so weak not Trumpian strong. Here at Hopium none of this was a surprise. We’ve been talking about him from Day 1 here. We know he is a rapist, fraudster, traitor and felon. We know he is far more extreme and dangerous now than he was in 2016 or 2020. We know that this danger to our democracy, our freedoms and our future became far more manifest when he picked pro-Russia extremist JD Vance as his running mate and heir apparent. To us here at Hopium we didn’t need to hear a single word of that terrible speech last night to know what they are fighting for, what they want for this country:

They want Putin to win, the West to lose. The border to be in chaos, and migrants to keep flowing into the country. Americans to lose even more rights and freedoms. The planet to warm faster. 10 year olds to carry their rapist’s baby to term, and for more women to die on operating room tables. Tens of millions to lose their health insurance. More dead kids in schools. Verified rapists in positions of authority. A restoration of pre-Civil Rights era white supremacy. Huge new tariffs which will raise prices on everything and wreck the global economy which has made us prosperous. Big new tax cuts for their wealthiest donors and tax increases for every day people. Books banned across the US. Seniors to pay more for insulin and prescription drugs. Foreign governments free to pollute our daily discourse and harass our citizens. Teenagers to work night shifts in meat packing plants and not go to school. The minimum wage to stay at $7.25. Mass arrests and mass deportations of immigrants long settled in the US. Insurrectionists to be pardoned. To end American democracy for all time.

Hannibal Lecter. Future GOP meetings in Russia-allied Venezuela. Hitler’s “poisoning the blood.” Autocratic leaders of China, Russia, Hungary and North Korea heaped with praise and respect. J6 criminals are “hostages.” Another embrace of QAnon, a violent cult calling for the jailing and assassination of Democrats. It was all there, ugly as it fucking gets, extreme, nothing held back. Another confirmation of why we are all working so hard to win the election, and why hard-working people of this great country deserve much better than this Putin-loving lunatic. (snip-More; the Hopium follows this)

The Silicon Valley Would-Be Vice President

This guy was writing on Substack, but was one of the ones who really left when Nazis were not invited to go elsewhere. He is generous enough to invite readers to follow him to where he writes now, and even provides a free piece fairly often. This one came today. He’s pretty spot on.

=====

JD Vance is an obvious, bald-faced opportunist. It makes sense that Trump would pick him as his Vice Presidential candidate; they probably understand each other quite well.

It can’t have hurt that a bevy of tech billionaires told Trump to pick him, and it’s not unreasonable to assume they gated funding on that choice. Elon Musk has pledged to give $45 million a month to a PAC newly formed to back Trump; Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale, former Yammer founder David Sacks, and VC Chamath Palihapitiya have also raised money for the group. Eponymous Andreessen-Horowitz founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz pledged donations and Keith Rabois has also reportedly pledged a comparatively paltry $1 million. (The Winkelvoss twins are also donors, but I wouldn’t exactly call them Silicon Valley insiders.)

Andreessen explained why, saying that the future of America is at stake:

Biden’s proposal to tax unrealized capital gains is what Andreessen called “the final straw” that forced him to switch from supporting the current president to voting for Trump. If the unrealized capital gains tax goes into effect, startups may have to pay taxes on valuation increases. (Private companies’ appreciation is not liquid. However, the U.S. government collects tax in dollars.)

One could argue, of course, that the future of America is at stake. As The 19th reported about Project 2025, the Heritage Foundation’s suggested plan for a next Trump administration whose authors include over 140 people who were a part of the last one:

Much of Project 2025 relates to gender, sexuality and race, aiming to end most all of the federal government’s efforts to achieve equity and even collect data that could be used to track outcomes across the public and private sectors.

The other sweeping changes it proposes include firing civil servants and replacing them with Trump loyalists, removing the Department of Education, gutting our already-insufficient climate change protections, reinstating the military draft, conducting sweeping immigration raids and mass deportations, and condemning more people to death sentences while making them swift enough to avoid retrial.

All this despite being on shaky legal ground:

Some of these ideas are impractical or possibly illegal. Analysts are divided about whether Trump can politicize the civil workforce to fire them at will, for example. And the plan calls for using the military to carry out mass deportations on a historic scale, which could be constitutionally iffy.

Trump has lately distanced himself from the plan in public, but privately said something quite different at a Heritage Foundation dinner:

“This is a great group and they’re going to lay the groundwork and detail plans for exactly what our movement will do, and what your movement will do, when the American people give us a colossal mandate to save America.”

For his part, Kevin Roberts, the President of the Heritage Foundation, said out loud on Steve Bannon’s podcast:

We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be.

JD Vance is walking this line too. My employer, ProPublica, recently reported that he, among other things, believes that the Devil is real, and that he had some unpleasant things to say about trans people:

He said that Americans were “terrified to tell the truth” and “point out the obvious,” including that “there are real biological, cultural, religious, spiritual distinctions between men and women.” He added, “I think that’s what the whole transgender thing is about, is like fundamentally denying basic reality.”

So, yes, all things considered, it feels a bit like America is in the balance.

What’s particularly bald about involvement from the Silicon Valley crowd is that they are, according to them, overlooking all of this and concentrating solely on their business interests. If policies like a tax on unrealized capital gains or tighter anti-trust actions are enacted, those investors may have to re-think some of their investment strategies.

For what it’s worth, those taxes are only applicable for individuals with a net worth of over $100M, with payments at an automatic minimum tax rate treated as prepayments against future realized gains. The effect could actually be to encourage startups to go public and realize their value sooner, which wouldn’t be a terrible thing for the ecosystem (but might limit the heights private valuations can reach). Given that people with that level of worth don’t usually make taxable income, this new levied tax on investment gains makes sense as a way to encourage the very wealthy to pay the same sorts of tax rates as the rest of us — but, clearly, Musk, Thiel, et al feel differently. (Invasive thought: where’s Sacks and Palihapitiya’s podcast co-host Jason Calacanis on this? Is he a sympathizer or just an enabler?)

Do tighter regulations and a new minimum tax for the wealthy risk the future of America, though? Maybe they have a different definition of America than I do. If, to them, it’s a place where you can make a bunch of money without oversight or accountability, then I can see how they might be upset. If, on the other hand, America is a place where immigrants are welcome and everyone can succeed, and where everyone has the freedom to be themselves, all built on a bedrock of infrastructure and support, then one might choose to take a different view. The tax proposal at hand is hardly socialism; it’s more like a correction. Even if you accept their premise, single-issue voting when the other issues include mass deportations and gutting public education is myopically self-serving, leave alone the barren inhumanity of leaving vulnerable communities out to dry.

Responses by prominent Republican supporters to the inclusion of a Sikh prayer in Punjabi in the Republican National Convention — one line reading, “in your grace and through your benevolence, we experience peace and happiness” — lay bare what the unhinged Christian nationalist contingent believes in:

Andrew Torba, CEO of the far-right social media platform Gab, ranted to his 400,000 followers on X, “Last night you saw why Christian Nationalism must be exclusively and explicitly Christian. No tolerance for pagan false gods and the synagogue of Satan.” Republican Oklahoma state Sen. Dusty Deevers seemed to agree. “Christians in the Republican party nodding silently along to a prayer to a demon god is shameful,” he posted.

From my perspective, there are no upsides to a Trump win. Even if you accept the idea that Project 2025 has nothing to do with him (which, as I’ve discussed, is laughable), his own self-published Agenda 47 for his next administration is similarly horrible, and includes provisions like sending the National Guard into cities, destroying climate crisis mitigations, mass deportations, and removing federal funding for any educational institution that dares to teach the history of race in America. It also includes a version of Project 2025’s call to fire civil servants who are seen as disloyal. JD Vance wants to end no-fault divorce(ironically, given his running mate), trapping people in abusive relationships. The effects on the judicial system from his first administration will be felt for generations; a second administration will be similarly seismic. He will gut support for vulnerable communities. I have friends who will directly suffer as a result of his Presidency; he will create an America that I do not want to bring my son up in.

Silicon Valley is supposed to invent the future. That’s what’s so inspiring about it: for generations, it’s created new ways of sharing and working that have allowed people to communicate and work together wherever they are. These new moves make it clearer than ever that a portion of it has never believed in that manifesto; that it is there solely to establish itself as a new set of power-brokers, trying to remake the world in their own image. The rest of us need to oppose them with our full voices and everything we can muster.

The Silicon Valley Would-Be Vice President

Ben (the writer) says, “I’m writing about the intersection of the internet, media, and society. Sign up to my newsletter to receive every post and a weekly digest of the most important stories from around the web.”

To follow up on reports about OK public schools-

It’s dated a few days ago, but it only made my phone stream today. I don’t usually read a lot of hard news on the phone; I like my desktop. Anyway. This looks like fun, especially reading that final comment from the OSDE office. 😈

Report: Norman Public Schools will not follow Walters’ attempted Bible mandate

by: Spencer Humphrey/KFOR

Posted: Jul 13, 2024 / 06:36 AM CDT

Updated: Jul 12, 2024 / 10:17 PM CDT

NORMAN, Okla. (KFOR) — Norman Public Schools will not require its teachers to teach from the Bible, despite a recent memorandum from State Superintendent Ryan Walters attempting to require them to do so, according to comments made by the district’s superintendent in a recent report.

In a report published by the Norman Transcript on Friday, Norman Public Schools (NPS) Superintendent Nick Migliorino is quoted saying NPS will not follow guidance laid out in a recent memo from State Superintendent Ryan Walters, in which Walters told districts teachers would be required to incorporate the Bible into their lessons.

OKLAHOMA NEWS: Oklahoma teacher and local reverend express concerns about Ryan Walters’ Bible mandate

“Effective immediately, all Oklahoma schools are required to incorporate the Bible, which includes the Ten Commandments, as an instructional support into the curriculum across specified grade levels,” the June 27 memorandum from Walters said.

Migliorino told the Norman Transcript, NPS does not plan to follow that memorandum.

“I’m just going to cut to the chase on that. Norman Public Schools is not going to have Bibles in our classrooms, and we are not going to require our teachers to teach from the Bible,” Migliorino told the Transcript. “The standards are clear and our curriculum is very clear. And we’re not going to deviate from that. I don’t know. I’m just going to be direct on that one.”

Migliorino went on to tell the newspaper NPS will continue to follow the legal standards already in place regarding usage of the Bible in school.

OKLAHOMA NEWS: Several religious leaders tell Supt. Walters to keep religion out of classrooms

He said that means Norman schools will continue to have copies of the Bible available for students to read or for teachers to incorporate into lessons if they choose, but they will not make it a requirement.

“We’re gonna follow the law, we’re going to provide a great opportunity for our students, we’re going to do right by our students and right by our teachers, and we’re not going to have Bibles in our classrooms,” he told the Transcript.

“It’s comforting that Norman Public Schools wants to follow the law and wants to follow protocols and isn’t going to follow a rogue executive edict from a state superintendent that doesn’t respect the law,” State Senator Mary Boren (D-Norman) told News 4 on Friday.

Boren said Walters likes to talk a big game — but it’s just that.

OKLAHOMA NEWS: Walters chooses Project 2025 co-author, other conservative activists to draft social studies curriculum for Oklahoma public schools

“He doesn’t even have executive power. I mean, he doesn’t, he doesn’t get to do an executive order that has legal impact on local school districts,” Boren said. “Legally, even though he can print all the paper he wants to, it doesn’t have the backing of the Constitution, doesn’t have the backing of state statute.”

A spokesperson for Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond told News 4 in June that state law “already explicitly allows Bibles in the classroom and enables teachers to use them in instruction” if they choose, but it does not require teachers to use them.

News 4 reached out to the Oklahoma State Department of Education (OSDE) Friday to get Walters’ response to Migliorino’s comments asserting NPS will not require teachers to teach the Bible.

“Oh yes they will,” is all OSDE spokesperson Dan Isett told News 4 in response.

https://kfor.com/news/report-norman-public-schools-will-not-follow-walters-attempted-bible-mandate/

Tenacious D’s Trump shocker

So, I enjoy Jack Black’s talent, however he applies it; he’s multi-talented. I’ve read headlines this week, and yesterday afternoon during a jog, I decided to read one of the stories about something the band Tenacious D said post-the Don shooting. I’m going to put it in here, just for general comment. I’ll add mine at the bottom. If you click through to the page, there are a couple of vids, and a photo or 2 I didn’t copy.

Tenacious D’s Trump shocker upends a career of perfectly judged musical comedy

Dave Simpson

Jack Black and Kyle Gass’s duo are on hiatus after an off-colour comment about the Trump shooting – a rare misstep after years of arena-filling antics

Is this the end of Jack Black’s spoof rock band Tenacious D? It could be, after his bandmate Kyle Gass’s comments on Sunday led his more famous partner to cancel their world tour and announce “all future creative plans are on hold”.

The band were midway through a show in Sydney when Black suggested his bandmate make a wish for his birthday. “Don’t miss Trump next time,” Gass responded, apparently referring to the attempted assassination of the former US president the day before. Both have long been critical of Trump, but Black seems to have quickly realised the joke had crossed a line. “I would never condone hate speech or encourage political violence in any form,” he later said in a statement, claiming to have been “blindsided” by the comment.

For his part, the equally mortified Gass wrote: “The line I improvised Sunday night in Sydney was highly inappropriate, dangerous and a terrible mistake. I don’t condone violence in any kind, in any form, against anyone. What happened [the shooting] was a tragedy, and I’m incredibly sorry for my severe lack of judgement.”

If this is indeed the end, it’s a sad and sorry demise for a partnership which always seemed to know exactly where to draw the line. Their shows may long have been littered with F-bombs, references to sexual deviancy, drug abuse, inflatable Satans and a parody of a power ballad titled Fuck Her Gently, but it’s always been in good fun and there’s never been anything actively, properly outrageous. Equally, as Gass’s comment about improvisation suggests, what makes this howler so out of character is that their stage routines are usually meticulously scripted with the same precision they bring to the visuals (giant robots, dragons and all) and the music.

Anyone who’s seen a Tenacious D show will know that they weren’t just a great spoof rock band, but a fantastic rock band in themselves. Partly, this was because, like This Is Spinal Tap, Black and Gass had a deep knowledge and indeed affection for the subject they were sending up.

Their gigantic rubber demon was based on 80s rocker Dio’s real-life 18ft dragon, Denzil. Their “sound crew solo” drily went “check, 1-2”. From Black’s operatic metal vocal to their exquisite guitar duelling, the musicianship has always been impeccable and while their songwriting wasn’t always as good, their best epic anthems could almost have been lost rock classics themselves (had they not been full of lyrics about beasts and farting). The masterful Tribute retold the meet-the-devil-at-the-crossroads myth so well they created the “greatest song in the world”, promptly forgetting how it went (hence the “tribute”). Such masterly, knowing tomfoolery enjoyed the respect of “real-life” peers from Beck to Pearl Jam. Dave Grohl was certainly in on the joke when the oft-called “nicest guy in rock” agreed to star as Satan in the video for Tribute, and then also the 2006 Tenacious D film The Pick of Destiny.

At the heart of their art was a deep, decades-long friendship between Black and Gass, which produced such wonderful chemistry onstage. Having met as struggling actors who formed the group in 1994 as a joke, before films such as High Fidelity or School of Rock turned Black into a superstar, their bond was strong enough to survive Black’s career upturn. The actor-singer once knowingly compared the duo to “Simon and Garfunkel and Black Sabbath mixed together” and indeed, just as Art Garfunkel’s voice needed Paul Simon’s songs and vice versa, Black’s comic timing benefited hugely from the classically trained Gass’s formidable abilities as a musician and comedic foil.

two men with guitars performing
Tenacious D performing at the AO Arena in Manchester in May. Photograph: Christopher Thomond/The Guardian

Their fortunes certainly waxed and waned – The Pick of Destiny flopped at the box office – but 2012 album Rize of the Fenix hit the US and UK Top 10 and this latest tour returned them to arenas around the world. On their recent British dates, audiences chanted “D!” and sang along with every word. One of the funniest bits was a sketch in which Gass dramatically “left the band”, leading Black to respond with a heartfelt ballad titled Dude (I Totally Miss You). Only time will tell whether the seemingly now genuinely estranged pair will get the band back together.

https://www.theguardian.com/music/article/2024/jul/16/jack-black-tenacious-d-kyle-gass-trump?CMP=share_btn_url

======================

So, first, I can easily see how this comment could escape a person’s head in that particular moment, aloud, before the person could get ahold of it. I’m not certain, though, because I’m not a popular performer, whether the additional exhilaration of performing would make it easier or more difficult to get ahold of a phrase than, say, me in a conversation with people who may or may not disagree with me. Obviously, as anti-gun as I am, it’s not something I’m going to say, and I don’t recall it occurring to me at the time of the shooting, even in the dark-humored part of me that does exist. But I’m not seeing why this is so bad for this band, really. They ought to do a few fundraisers for gun control/mass shooting locations/things like that, I think, but I’m not sure this is go-away-and-never-show-their-faces-again bad, especially since it was a single sentence, not a tirade, and there was an ASAP apology that seems sincere. Others’s mileage may vary, so let’s talk.

CNN fact checks the Republican National Convention

I know I make people click a lot more than Scottie does; he works hard to get so much good info so we can stay aware. I’m reading here, https://poodyheads.wordpress.com/2024/07/17/cnn-fact-checks-the-republican-convention/ , which leads to here, https://dianeravitch.net/2024/07/16/cnn-fact-checks-the-republican-convention/ , then went here https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/07/15/politics/fact-check-night-one-republican-national-convention to get the fact checking, which seems quite good, so skip to that (then go back to the others.) I say seems because I don’t watch their pageant, and I think I more avidly avoid it this year than I have since they quit broadcasting the actual convention activities on CSPAN. Anyway, go see! It helps us when we run across someone who might be watching in the belief they’re getting information as opposed to circus work (no offense intended to circuses. Except the ones that still use animals, I don’t mind insulting them.) Snippets:

*Sen. Blackburn claims Biden administration hired 85,000 new IRS agents

Sen. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee claimed in her speech Monday that the Biden administration has hired 85,000 new Internal Revenue Service agents to “harass hardworking Americans.”

Facts First: This claim is false. 

The Inflation Reduction Act – which Congress passed in 2022 without any Republican votes – provided an about $80 billion, 10-year investment to the IRS. The agency plans to hire tens of thousands of IRS employees with that money – but only some will be IRS agents who conduct audits and investigations. Many people will be hired for non-agent roles, such as customer service representatives. And a significant number of the hires are expected to fill the vacant posts left by retirements and other attrition, not take newly created positions.

The 85,000 figure comes from a 2021 Treasury Department report that estimated the IRS could hire 86,852 full-time employees – not solely enforcement agents – over the course of a decade with a nearly $80 billion investment.

From CNN’s Katie Lobosco 

*Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene on Transgender Day of Visibility

Greene said while attacking Democrats in her convention speech that “the establishment in Washington” held Transgender Day of Visibility on Easter this year.

“They promised normalcy and gave us Transgender Visibility Day on Easter Sunday,” the Georgia Republican said.

Facts first: This claim needs context. Transgender Day of Visibility has been held annually on March 31 since it was started in 2009 as a day of awareness to celebrate the successes of transgender and gender-nonconforming people. Easter is celebrated on the first Sunday after the first full moon following the first day of spring and can change year to year. The holiday happened to fall on March 31 in 2024.

Responding to Republicans criticizing President Joe Biden, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre in an April 1 briefing said she was “surprised by the misinformation” surrounding Easter and Transgender Day of Visibility falling on the same day.

“Every year, for the past several years, on March 31, Transgender Day of Visibility is marked. And as we know — for folks who understand the calendar and how it works, Easter falls on different Sundays every year. And this year, it happened to coincide with Transgender Visibility Day.  And so, that is the simple fact,” she said.

From CNN’s Jack Forrest 

*Republican chair falsely claims Middle East was ‘at peace’ four years ago

Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley said in his speech on Monday: “Four years ago, Europe and the Middle East were at peace.”

Facts First: Whatley’s claim is false. Whatever the merits of the Abraham Accords that Trump’s administration helped to negotiate, in which Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates agreed in 2020 to normalize relations with Israel (Morocco and Sudan followed), there was still lots of unresolved armed conflict around the Middle East four years ago in mid-2020 and when Trump left office in early 2021.

The list notably included the civil war in Yementhe civil war in Syria; and the conflicts between Israel and Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, between Israel and Hezbollah on its border with Lebanonbetween Israel and Syria, and what former State Department official Aaron David Millercalled “the war between the wars between Israel and Iran on air, land and sea.” Also, the US, its allies and civilians continued to be attacked in an unstable Iraq.

“It’s a highly inaccurate statement,” Miller, who worked on Mideast peace negotiations while in government and is now a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said last fall, when Trump himself made a similar claim about having achieved peace in the Middle East.

Dana El Kurd, senior nonresident fellow at the Arab Center Washington DC think tank, also called that claim “false” when Trump made it. She said in a November email: “The Abraham Accords did not achieve peace in the Middle East. In fact, violence escalated in Israel-Palestine in the aftermath of the Accords (using any metric you can think of – death tolls, settlement violence, etc).”

From CNN’s Daniel Dale

*RNC video attacks Biden with two-year-old gas price figure

The Republican National Convention featured a video attacking Biden over the price of gas. But the video misleadingly deployed out-of-date figures as if they were current.

A narrator claimed: “When President Trump left office, gas cost only $2.20. Under Biden and Harris, gas skyrocketed to the highest price in history, over five bucks a gallon.” Later in the video, a young man said, “Within my first year of driving, I’m having to deal with an average of $5.03 across the nation,” and a woman said, “It’s impossible to pay $5.03. We need to care about our people better than that.”

Facts FirstThese claims about Biden-era gas prices are two years out of date. The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline was about $3.52 on Monday, according to the AAAThe national average did, under Biden, hit a record high of more than $5 per gallon – about $5.02, according to AAA data – but that happened in June 2022, after the Russian invasion of Ukraine triggered a global spike in oil prices. The RNC videos offered no indication that the national average has since fallen substantially.

Also, the national average on the day Trump left office in January 2021 was about $2.39 per gallon, not $2.20, though it was lower than $2.20 in some states.

From CNN’s Daniel Dale

(More on the page)

Today’s Hopium

Voters in Europe, The UK and France Just Denied The Far Right Power. It’s Our Turn Now

Join Me And Anderson Clayton In Raleigh, North Carolina This Friday!

SIMON ROSENBERG

JUL 17, 2024

Happy Wednesday all. Only more 2 days of the Republican Convention! Got a few things for you today…..

Hopium community member Roger Poulard dropped this note on our paid subscriber chat last night responding to a link I shared from Biden-Harris about needing volunteers:

Did my first [DNC] phonebanking shift tonight. 65 calls made – talked to 10 people, 7 of which are voting for Joe, and two who are undecided or won’t say. Feeling a little bit better about everything. It’s a close race and I really hope things go our way, but I’m going to do my part to try to make it happen.

Community member TCash added this:

Here’s a little hopium of my own to share. This morning I got an email from “postcards to swing states” . They are pausing sign-up for the moment because of the overwhelming number of volunteers who have reached out and they need to catch up. In the last two weeks alone over 19,000 volunteers have requested 5.5 million postcards. In early August, they will resume taking orders with a goal of 29 million postcards to be sent out. Maybe this kind of news isn’t reported in the media or reflected in the polls but it’s a wonderful thing to see such an amazing amount of enthusiasm in a grassroots organization.

Community member ArcticStones added this:

On a related note, last night I was on a Zoom call where Red Wine & Blue hosted Heather Cox Richardson. An intense discussion ensued about Trump’s Project 2025 – and what we can do to stop it! Everyone received information and tool-kits to make other voters aware of the danger America faces.

There were 35,000 people on that call. Afterwards it broke into separate Zoom action groups, organized geographically, to prepare concrete action.

Throughout our nation, patriotic defenders of American democracy are rising!

VP Harris released this short video ahead of JD Vance’s speech tonight:

We now have a few days of polling after the events of the weekend and the race remains remarkably stable, close and competitive (all polls can be found on 538). Biden remains 2 points down on 538’s average. The Congressional Generic is back in positive territory and has been encouraging for us these past few weeks. Senate polling continues to hold. We’ve had polls this week with Biden up in MI and WI and down just 2 in NC. As we discussed yesterday, JD Vance may be good for Trump’s fundraising, but he is not good for him electorally. The 538 forecast this morning has Biden at 277. Here’s the current battleground in the 538 forecast:

Here’s the RNC Chair yesterday saying “there is no red wave.” For there isn’t, and Rs got heavily burned by their bullshit polls and wishful thinking in 2022. The election is remarkably stable, close and competitive, with Trump, perhaps, having a slight advantage. Commentators on television suggesting otherwise are operating outside the data available to us today.

From my read over the last few weeks the Trump campaign understands they have a lot of work to do to win. After publicly dissing her they clumsily gave Nikki Haley a Convention speaking slot at the last minute because they don’t have her voters locked up. They’ve kept Trump off the campaign trail because every time he speaks his idiocy, extremism and craziness hurts the campaign. They know that selling a rapist, fraudster, traitor and felon to the American people is no easy thing. They have to lie about Biden’s Presidency because they know how successful it has been – that the economy is booming, the stock market setting records, inflation dropping, crime is way way down and flows to the border are now the lowest they’ve been during the Biden Presidency. They sold the VP pick to Silicon Valley because they needed the money. They’ve tried to bury their extremism and run from Project 2025. They know the pro-Russian views of their two candidates is a stone cold political loser. They know we’ve won more votes in 7 of the past 8 Presidential elections. They know that we’ve averaged 51% in the last 4 Presidential elections, our best showing since FDR’s 4 elections, and that this is a center-left country today. They know they are not at 270 Electoral College votes in current polling. They know that when voters have voted in these last 2 years since Dobbs they keep underperforming and struggling, and we keep winning and overperforming. They know the power of American women and the Democratic grassroots. They know the abortion ballot initiatives could cost them a few critical points in critical battleground states. They know the far right flamed out in the European, French and UK elections. They know NeverTrumpers remain a big threat to their ability to win the election.

And they know that the guy who tried to kill Trump is almost certainly one of theirs and a very public confirmation of the threat their radical politics is to the country. From Newsweek this morning (and this has been confirmed by other news outlets):

A neighbor in Bethel Park, the Pittsburgh suburb where Crooks lived, said they saw pro-Trump signs in the family’s yard as recently as a few months ago.

“There absolutely was MAGA-supporting signs for a while,” Kelly Little told WTAE-TV.

Not only I am optimistic we can win this thing based on current data and my assessment of the landscape but because of the “margin of effort” all of you are putting in. As a fellow citizen I remain deeply inspired by your commitment, love of country, grit and willingness to just put your head down and do the work required for us to win.

But our party today is not united as we need it to be. There remains deep concern about the President’s ability to go out and win the election given his struggles of late. This concern is not just being expressed by some party leaders (who by the way know how to win elections in tough places) but based on current polling is shared by tens of millions of Democrats themselves. As I said in my video to you a few days ago (above), I am optimistic we can win this November; but if the President is going to win he is going to need to do far more to assuage the legitimate doubts many Democrats have about his candidacy, and all of us will have to come together soon – for a divided, fractious Democratic Party will lose the 2024 election.

My ongoing advice to this community is to approach these coming days with respect – respect of the President, our nominee; respect of party leaders who are working to ensure that we can win the election; and respect of one another who today are not all on the same page. For those of you backing the President telling your fellow Democrats who continue to have doubts to stop it and get in line is counter-productive, insulting and corrosive. For those of you wanting the President to step aside recognize that the most likely scenario is that our ticket remains Biden-Harris and attacking him wounds him at a time we need to be building him and the Vice-President up. This current moment is not easy for us given the stakes but as I asked in my video think of yourself here as a leader, not just a citizen. Lead the party forward, show respect of views different than yours and work to bring us together not push us apart. Do the hard thing here not the easy thing. And the hard thing is to resist fighting with fellow Dems, publicly, right now, and keep putting our heads down and working; and commit to bring us all together as we head into our Convention in a few weeks. The only way we win is if we stay together.

I want to be very clear at what I am saying here. The doubts about the President’s capacity to lead us now is a serious matter. In the Washington Post poll released last week which had the race at 46-46, 56% of Democrats wanted the President to step aside for another candidate. This data is consistent with data from other polls in the last few weeks.

If the President cannot get this number down, way down, I think it will be very difficult for us to win the election this November. He is the President, and the leader of our Party. It is his responsibility to bring us together, to demonstrate that he can lead us successfully against this fascist threat. Perhaps his media appearances over the past few weeks, the ongoing encouraging economic news, his successful leadership of the NATO Summit, the shock of the ugliness of the GOP Convention and his confident and strong leadership in the aftermath of an assassination attempt of a former President has already started assuaging these concerns. But we are not where we want to be right now, have a lot of hard work ahead of us and we are not the “my way or the highway” party. That’s them. We are the bring everyone together, listen to each other respectfully, expand our coalition and go out kick MAGA’s ass party. We are the Democratic Party.

It is why I hope this weekend the President and his team to do one more final assessment of the political landscape given the tumult of the past few weeks, review the latest data, talk one more time to party leaders, and perhaps most importantly, do one more final assessment of whether an 81 year old man who has been struggling a bit can, in the next four months, be both the President of the United States in a very challenging time and a successful candidate for President in a race we are not winning right now. If the answer is yes I will be all in and work as I have, with all of you, to go win this thing for our democracy, our freedoms and our future. And if the President chooses to pass the baton I will be all in and work as I have, with all of you, to go win this thing for our democracy, our freedoms and our future.

I am proud of my President, proud of my party, and oh so proud to be in this fight with all of you. Let’s keep working hard everyone and commit to bring our party back together and go out defeat the fascists one more time. Voters in Europe, France and the UK just did their job. It’s our turn now.

Making July Count/We Cannot Let Up/Do More and Worry Less – Friends, we just did a remarkable job together here making June count. In five weeks from late May to June 30th we raised over $1m for our candidates and party committees. Many of you have been out there hustling for candidates, writing postcards, canvassing, calling and texting. We launched our Winning the House campaign which brought in more $500,000 for our 12 Hopium-endorsed candidates with the best opportunity to flip seats and help us take back the House. We added the blue dot in Nebraska to our “checkmate” state strategy, one designed to get us to 270 electoral college votes and win the election. We raised hundreds of thousands of dollars for Biden-Harris, including more than $100,000 in the days after the debate. When called once again the Hopium community answered. That’s why we’ve launched a new campaign to “Make July Count” with new July 31st fundraising goals.

We cannot let up now, not for a moment. We are deep into the 2024 election and while it is summer, and we are not all on same page today, we cannot stop working to make the election everything we want it to be. So please do something this week to support this new campaign, and be on the look out for many more interviews of our endorsed House candidates in the coming days. Trying to get the remaining eight done by our Convention.

We can do this people!

Here’s how you can do even more:

Finally help me spread Hopium and grow this plucky community. Sign others up to be a Hopium subscriber at this link. Note that options for group and gift subscriptions are available to those who want to bring friends and colleagues into the Hopium community. Click on the group and gift tabs here to learn more. To update your payment information or check your renewal status follow these instructions from Substack. Let’s keep the Hopium flowing and our community growing!

Proud to be in this fight with all of you – Simon

Some snarky coverage of the Republican convention

Because humorous snark is the only way I can take coverage of Republican conventions. Lots of good stuff here, so do click through and look at it all when you have time.

Wonkette Went To The Moms For Liberty Key Party And All We Got Was This Lousy Sticker

It was their *key* *party*, news factcheck websites!

ROBYN PENNACCHIA

 AND 

DOKTOR ZOOM

JUL 17, 2024

On Tuesday, because of how we are all pretty much gluttons for punishment at this point, we (well, Dok and Robyn) attended a Moms For Liberty chat at the Bradley Symphony Center in downtown Milwaukee. Are you so jealous? I bet you are! Anyway, instead of writing a whole post on it, we decided to just have a Slack about our favorite moments. Fun? Fun!

Robyn: Hey Dok! So HOW MUCH FUN did you have at the Moms For Liberty forum yesterday?

Doktor Zoom: Well, I got that new bandage from Walgreens on my blistered toe, so that was a real win!

Robyn: That was pretty exciting. I got a bunch of Vitamin C there because I thought it might make me less anemic. So that was also nice. But sadly, instead of spending a few hours in the Walgreens where I could happily stare blankly at the ELF section for a while (it’s makeup, okay?) we had to go to the Bradley Symphony center not to see the symphony but to see a bunch of weirdos talk about how they are SAVING THE VERY SOULS of the children, but not in any specific way.

Doktor Zoom: But it was very specific, Robyn. Moms for Liberty cofounder Tina Vescovich started with a warning that “there’s something going on in this country,” which is a definitely true statement that I dare anyone to refute. Then she explained it was a battle between good and evil, and that sure sounded scary. Also, I guess radical Marxists are coming for America’s children, possibly to buy them school lunch, but also for their souls. That’s clearly terrible, and I hope the children don’t have their souls taken, by some unspecified Marxist evil.

Robyn: I feel like it’s not a real battle for good and evil if there’s not a Hellmouth but ymmv!

To be specific, she said that the radical Marxists are coming for their children’s futures, which is actually pretty true in the way that the radical Marxists do hope that, in the future, their children will have health care, subsidized college, a living wage, and a planet that is not entirely decimated.

Of course, the real “radical Marxists” are people like me (I guess?) with literally no power to do any of that, nevermind making it so the workers own the means of production, so perhaps she assumes we’ll just give up and … eat babies?

Doktor Zoom: Oh, wait, that does sound like us, doesn’t it. We’re the baddies, then. Also there’s all the radical gender ideology and the books that will make children think about gay pornsex if they see a child in a picture book who has two mommies, but for some reason nobody in the discussion actually mentioned any of the things that Moms for Libertines is best known for.